Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.038006 0.044504 0.051664 0.060125 0.069833 0.080607 0.093452
2025-03-23 0.029073 0.037754 0.048227 0.061728 0.078597 0.098901 0.125104
2025-03-30 0.022323 0.031811 0.044219 0.061482 0.084699 0.114639 0.155930
2025-04-06 0.017101 0.026542 0.039830 0.059629 0.088053 0.126987 0.183858
2025-04-13 0.013512 0.022683 0.036484 0.058356 0.091629 0.139685 0.213478
2025-04-20 0.011774 0.021178 0.036180 0.061258 0.101345 0.161900 0.258867
2025-04-27 0.010261 0.019689 0.035569 0.063450 0.110076 0.183426 0.305383
2025-05-04 0.008410 0.017222 0.032889 0.061764 0.112237 0.194832 0.337239
2025-05-11 0.007098 0.015449 0.031066 0.061170 0.115968 0.208913 0.374507
2025-05-18 0.005878 0.013592 0.028755 0.059293 0.117109 0.218614 0.405224
2025-05-25 0.004947 0.012123 0.026913 0.057962 0.118956 0.229537 0.438834
2025-06-01 0.004333 0.011207 0.026006 0.058272 0.123814 0.246133 0.483761
2025-06-08 0.003605 0.009891 0.024085 0.056327 0.124217 0.254900 0.515911
2025-06-15 0.003337 0.009619 0.024382 0.059075 0.134317 0.282866 0.586325
2025-06-22 0.002942 0.008944 0.023655 0.059485 0.139644 0.302133 0.641936
2025-06-29 0.002496 0.008025 0.022192 0.058015 0.140776 0.313170 0.682469
2025-07-06 0.002140 0.007268 0.020984 0.056940 0.142605 0.325732 0.727063
2025-07-13 0.002017 0.007163 0.021414 0.059867 0.153762 0.358655 0.815860
2025-07-20 0.001873 0.006958 0.021544 0.062061 0.163459 0.389308 0.902376
2025-07-27 0.001601 0.006276 0.020254 0.060433 0.163911 0.399953 0.947406
2025-08-03 0.001403 0.005787 0.019417 0.059863 0.166839 0.416288 1.005975
2025-08-10 0.001195 0.005203 0.018187 0.058029 0.166381 0.424887 1.048183
2025-08-17 0.001031 0.004731 0.017204 0.056727 0.167106 0.436233 1.097389